USA's FOREIGN POLICY HAS MATURED.
In the past USA has opted for short term
political gains over longer term human rights.
While supporting 'friends' dictators USA has
maintained regimes which acted favorably
in terms of USA polices.
The state Department is now leaning on
allies with human rights violations.
Iran is a good case in point.
The USA support for the Shah was
short sighted, and lead to long term
set backs for USA by ignoring human
rights violations.
And lead to the seizure of the US embassy.
US understood the motivation that lead
to the seizure and nobody was killed.
And just over looked it after the return
of the hostages.
Iran how ever saw that as weakness, fear
of Iran. Which lead Iran to more adventurism.
Exporting terrorist technology,IEDs and high
explosives to terrorists in Afghan and Pakistan.
Again US response was muted, again
viewed by the Iranian regime as weakness
on the part of USA.
They also supported terrorists in Iraq and
do to this day.
USA intervened in Libya but not in
Syria. Iran viewed this again as USA weakness and fear.
Now comes into play Stuxnet and flame,
and their children still in play in Iran.
http://warintel.blogspot.com/2010/10/stuxnet-30-most-powerful-weapon-ever.html
Iraq fought a war with Iran for 7 yrs.
And they fought each other to a stand still.
USA invaded Iraq and took the Military
down in 7 days, Iran would take maybe 4 days
with a cyber strike first.
So USA has the power but the will
seems to be lacking.
but why?
Its my opinion that after 5 years on Iran's
networks Stuxnet etal know Iran's
counter strike plans and this has stayed
USA hand.
Again Iran views this as USA weakness.
But EVERY time Iran has had an
opportunity for direct conflict with
USA they have backed down.
Like with their taking US hostages.
Like the hikers, USA paid fines and
the hostages were released.
Again Iran viewed this as weakness
but backed down from a direct
confrontation.
Now we have the case where IRCG
and Iran have admitted arming
hamas in Gaza with rockets and
anti-aircraft missiles.
The Gaza up rising is part of Iran's
plan to obtain a nuke.
http://warintel.blogspot.com/2012/11/why-iran-ordered-hamas-to-start-war-w.html
And again view Israeli and USA inaction
on supplying arms to terrorists as weakness.
On the other hand the sanctions are having
an impact on the Regime, as the value
of their currency plummets.
Which also confuses USA as sanctions
have never had this effect before.
But US is willing to wait and see where this
goes. Especially as they have Stuxnet watching
from the inside.
Iran has had some banks fail which
they have kept secret and fear this
could spread, and it will.
مردم ایران حمایت های مالی
“Chi mikhad beshe?” IRANIANS TAKE FINANCIAL COVER http://warintel.blogspot.com/2012/10/iranians-take-financial-cover.html
Iran feels Israel can't maintain two
fronts, one in Gaza and attack Iran.
Something they didn't count
on was their economic problems.
They have had to put many
Afghan business deals on hold
because of the lack of funds.
And Egypt provides more funds for
hamas through the Egyptian Muslim
Brotherhood than Iran does, and
had enough influence to start Gaza
war but Egypt holds the real
purse strings for hamas.
But Iran still has wholly owned terrorist
groups opperating in Gaza independent
from hamas.
As a counter to Iranian MOIS and IRCG
terrorists the FBI and NSA have intel
collection processes only hinted at in
the press, but not enough to handle
all of IRCG and MOIS operatives.
And Iran has started running by
Russian rules, no phones, or PCs,
all hand delivered DOCS.
As soon as CIA,FBI,NSA have Iran's
counter strike agents in their sights
Iran needs a GOOD BITCH SLAPPING,
to dispel Iran of the notion USA is weak
or fearful, this will help bring Iran
to do some real negotiating over Nukes.
Iran's malformed paradigm needs to be
adjusted.
Why I think Anonymous policy
towards Iran is in error.
http://warintel.blogspot.com/2012/11/why-i-think-anonymous-is-wrong-on-gaza.html
Gerald
War Anthropologist
Originally published at https://warintel.blogspot.com/2012/11/irans-malformed-paradigm.html on November 22, 2012.